Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.666047 5.382362 6.170770 7.102791 8.174494 9.368299 10.799269
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.788098 4.751124 5.900720 7.373816 9.211592 11.429449 14.311085
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.021528 4.078247 5.432647 7.295131 9.790418 13.019914 17.521939
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.658132 3.831630 5.434559 7.782587 11.135447 15.754471 22.611153
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.325514 3.558405 5.342556 8.110205 12.297217 18.400758 27.991237
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.994045 3.222851 5.097655 8.162656 13.051091 20.554859 32.974405
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.634602 2.779282 4.613337 7.760957 13.032489 21.519740 36.257724
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.487340 2.650041 4.598997 8.097064 14.225267 24.534864 43.246149
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.401942 2.609286 4.720024 8.669954 15.885949 28.531955 52.446773
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.272446 2.467915 4.642554 8.875605 16.920646 31.573206 60.377096
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.149127 2.317447 4.524093 8.982636 17.779008 34.393911 68.273167
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.999655 2.092618 4.232374 8.712490 17.872460 35.785338 73.608918
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.857502 1.864635 3.909825 8.350196 17.764862 36.838000 78.568139
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.783984 1.768309 3.838741 8.493521 18.713423 40.132405 88.621192
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.690375 1.613649 3.623287 8.297406 18.914140 41.910683 95.725413
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.661864 1.600488 3.711310 8.782256 20.678982 47.269949 111.491349
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.623546 1.558381 3.728272 9.107312 22.128679 52.132029 126.844062
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.569849 1.470681 3.627093 9.138609 22.893980 55.540122 139.286298
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.493423 1.314238 3.339410 8.673004 22.388456 55.897095 144.396558
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.471220 1.293337 3.380906 9.037856 24.004389 61.590589 163.645147
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.463459 1.309433 3.518027 9.669883 26.398268 69.539279 189.843260
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.436557 1.269080 3.502664 9.894681 27.750779 75.016328 210.320472
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.407391 1.217727 3.450490 10.011154 28.826708 79.914941 229.947560